Dr. Saritha Padiyedath Gopalan
Brief Details:
Climate change adaptation has become the current
focus of research due to its remarkable potential to alter the spatial and
temporal distribution of water availability. Despite this progress globally,
what adaptation measures need to be implemented in the water sector are poorly
quantified. To the author’s knowledge, a handful of papers have set up their
models with infrastructures that are obviously unignorable to reproduce reality
and included more than one adaptation option in future impact projection. This
fundamental issue can be solved by synchronizing various anthropogenic
activities and adaptation measures into the macro-scale hydrological models.
Numerous dams have been constructed in large river
basins, but these are seldom explicitly incorporated in distributed
hydrological models. H08 is one of the pioneering global hydrological models (GHMs)
that integrated natural hydrology and human water usage (e.g., irrigation water
withdrawal) and management (e.g., dam operation). Therefore, initially, the
possibility of reservoir operation for regulating the future flow from an
adaptation viewpoint was evaluated using the H08 GHM with the Chao Phraya River
basin (CPRB) as a case study. The H08 model was developed for the CPRB by
including nine significant reservoirs and evaluated their impact on river discharge.
The results revealed that the changes in the magnitude of future flood flow are
likely to be larger than those achieved by reservoir operation, although it can
increase low flows in the basin, which indicates the need for further
adaptation options.
Another adaptation measure is the water diversion
systems that could assuage flood and drought risks by diverting and
redistributing water within and among basins. However, the representation of
diversion systems into the GHMs remains in the pioneering stage. Without
incorporating diversion canals, one cannot reproduce the river flow accurately.
Therefore, novel algorithms were developed to express diversion channels and
retarding ponds for H08 GHM. The enhanced H08 model with adaptation measures
was then applied in the CPRB. A remarkable reduction in the water risk was
noted, but the risk cannot be mitigated completely.
Due to the significant impact of climate change on
water resources, individual adaptation measures failed to mitigate the risk
completely. Hence, we proposed a flexible and efficient way to incorporate a
package of multiple adaptation options, termed adaptation portfolio, into the
H08 model. We found that the portfolios were primarily effective in mitigating
the water scarcity to the present level, but extreme floods may prevail in
historically flood-prone regions.
1. Theory of unit hydrograph - A unit
hydrograph is defined as the hydrograph of direct runoff resulting from one unit
depth (1 cm) of rainfall excess occurring uniformly over the basin and at a
uniform rate for a specified duration (D hours). The term unit here refers to a
unit depth of rainfall excess which is usually taken as 1 cm. The duration,
being a very important characteristic, is used as a prefix to a specific unit
hydrograph. Thus, one has a 6-h unit hydrograph, 12-h unit hydrograph, etc.,
and in general, a D-h unit hydrograph applicable to a given catchment. Two
basic assumptions constitute the foundations for the unit-hydrograph theory. These
are: (i) the time invariance and (ii) the linear response.
2. Application
of unit hydrograph - Using the basic principles of the unit
hydrograph, one can easily calculate the direct runoff hydrograph (DRH) in a
catchment due to a given storm if an appropriate unit hydrograph is available.
Let it be assumed that a D-h unit-hydrograph and the storm hyetograph are
available. The initial losses and infiltration losses are estimated and
deducted from the storm hyetograph to obtain the effective rainfall hyetograph
(ERH). The ERH is then divided into M blocks of D-h duration each. The rainfall
excess in each D-h duration is then operated upon the unit hydrograph
successively to get the various DRH curves. The ordinates of these DRHs are
suitably lagged to obtain the proper time sequence and are then collected and
added at each time element to obtain the required net DRH due to the storm.
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